Feedstock Math

Quantifying the gap between existing diversion and CDR opportunity.

MSW2CDR uses feedstock math to estimate how much organic material exists, how much is already diverted, what remains landfilled, what may be route-eligible, and what could support a carbon-removal opportunity review with the right technology, processor, MRV, and storage pathway.

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292.4M tonsAnnual U.S. MSW generation baseline used for early screening.
FoodMajor organic fraction requiring diversion, capture, and processing analysis.
YardCommon biogenic stream with seasonal and local processing potential.
FiberFood-soiled paper, cardboard, and approved fiber require site-specific routing review.

Core formulas

The route-potential estimation stack.

Estimated Organic Waste Base

Food + Yard + Food-Soiled Paper + Approved Fiber

Defines the starting material pool for a city, campus, venue, producer, or facility.

Current Diversion

Organic Waste Base × Existing Capture Rate

Shows the material already moving through a familiar organics system.

Unrealized Capture

Organic Waste Base − Current Diversion

Quantifies the gap between current collection and potential routed supply.

CDR-Route Eligible Feedstock

Diverted Organics × Eligibility × Contamination Factor

Identifies the portion worth processor, technology, and storage review.

Retrofit-Ready Feedstock

Eligible Feedstock × Processor Fit × MRV Readiness

Focuses the opportunity on material that can support a real project screen.

Net Removal Estimate

Stored Carbon − Collection − Processing − Transport − Rejects

Only project-level accounting creates a responsible carbon-removal estimate.

Business value

The math makes the opportunity review a no-brainer starting point.

Instead of asking a city or producer to commit to a full project immediately, MSW2CDR starts with a quantified opportunity screen. The study shows existing volumes, route gaps, technology fit, partner requirements, and potential project pathways before capital decisions are made.